So my favorite sport has their draft tomorrow and I would be remiss if I didn’t weigh in with some insight and general thoughts. I’m not offering any of this up as fact. I have zero club house or front office sources. I’m merely throwing out some ideas and commenting on what happened or could be twenty four hours from now.
Admittedly I feel horrible for Blake Griffin. I admire him and his team for saying that they’re happy to go to LA. He’s happy to be part of a rebuilding phase. He can really put his stamp on the league if this team can turn it around. Bear in mind, he’s not going to the Lakers a year after Kobe blew out his Achilles and they stumbled ass backward into the number one pick and NCAA POY – a la San Antonio and Timmy D. he’s headed to the red, white and blue Los Angeles Clippers, whose most famous fan is Billy Crystal.
Is there any scenario under which he makes it through his first contract without a major knee or ankle injury? Maybe it’s a back injury and you can throw something at me three years from now. Regardless as to what it is, I’m skeptical that he can make it unscathed. I’m pulling for him because by all accounts he’s a great kid who busts his ass – as is much better than his older brother, like Malcolm. (Though when you’re measuring stick is a drunken wash-out, there’s not much to reach for.)
As far as rebuilding, it’s not like the cupboard is bare. Baron Davis, Al Thornton and their ’08 number one Eric Gordon. Marcus Camby and Chris Kaman are in the mix as of press time, but many pundits are sure one of them is moving – likely the former because there’s less of a market for the latter than Z-Bo. Ahhh, Zach Randolph…I’d move him and Ricky Davis before Griffin ever made it to the City of Angeles – like Cleveland did to Ricky before LeBron got there. But I can’t imagine anyone wanting either of them. Or that Mike Dunleavy would move either of them, because it would make too much sense. (Why did they get rid of Elgin when this was the alternative?)
Contrary to popular belief there are another 50 or selections in the draft. Everyone bemoans the talent – or lack thereof – this summer, but I beg to differ. There may not be ‘top tier’ talent, but I’m convinced there are more than a few role players. Picks 2 through 12 are horribly dreaded by the talking heads but I’m not so sure that’s the case.
The PGs are pretty strong and there’s a few solid back ups, with possible upgrade to someone who can grow into the position in the coming years. Ricky Rubio is more NBA-ready than anyone will admit and him falling to OKC is as sick as I can remember. I think he and Westbrook can play at the same time – Russ is bigger and a UCLA Ben Howland product, so he knows the right way to play.
I can’t wait for Thabeet to flop – I just believe it’s totally inevitable (Totes m’goats!) Tyreke Evans could be good, but he’s no Derrick Rose. I’m not sold on James Harden, but Steph Curry landing in Minny as well would be great for Jefferson. Minnesota is interesting, another conversation for this time actually…
I was speaking to Pops about them today and he remarked that he felt bad for the young guys landing there as they’ll never get more than one playoff run – like KG. I have to disagree with that on the ground of new management. I’m not saying it’s a certainty that they’ll be contending for the West every year starting in 2012. I’m saying that this is new management and if they are in a serious rebuilding plan, well kudos to them. They’ve now settled on a plan and can continue as such. I think if they actually follow through and tell fans (and players), we’re going to be young and there will be growing pains but these are the cards we’re playing the next half a decade, I’m happy for them.
It’s actually the plan that has begun to bear fruit in Portland. It seems to be the direction that OKC is heading in as well. A lot of good young talent who can grow together with little pressure on them, as everyone will label their struggles as ‘growing’ pains. Granted if we’re still having this conversation about Portland in 2 years and OKC in 4, it speaks to a much bigger problem.
This brings me to a great point that I heard today and will pass along, not as though it were my own but as an interesting nugget. Whereas OKC and Portland went young and intend to endure growth, Cleveland continuously goes older and tries to put chips around LeBron. This gets everyone thinking that the Cavs should be contending….NOW.
The reality is much grimmer in that the pieces in place might not ever be able to compete for a title. After hearing that, is Shaq really the answer for Danny Ferry? I’m not dumping on it because it does make sense on some level, but I wonder if LeBron will take a good hard look at the direction of the franchise and decide they do not know how to build a winner.
Consider the last two paragraphs one moot if they go out and get Hedo Turkoglu. Is there any other reason for him to opt out of his contract with Orlando this summer? Is there a shot in hell of Orlando sniffing the conference finals every spring? I think not. Cleveland will continue to be there, whether or not they get over the hump remains to be seen, Miami will be back in play because it’s South Beach, Dwyane Wade and there’s no state income tax in Florida, Boston has another year in them, Washington has poised themselves to return, Philly is only going to get better. Yet I digress…
Back to the draft. I’m not sold on Hill or Derozan. I’m only comfortable with Holliday because he’s a Howland guy AND how well Russell Westbrook fared in OKC last season. I think whoever ends up with Johnny Flynn will be happy. I’m not 100% that he’s ready to be the #1 #1 for a team, but he’s a good second unit point.
I’m going to rattle off a few names now and hope that the following makes sense…DeJuan Blair could excel in the right situation, IE I hope he falls to Chicago – I’d hate to see him relegated to Indiana for two reasons. 1 – I don’t think the future there is as bright as other late lottery teams. 2 – I don’t want to have to like the fucking Pacers. Ty Lawson is a crapshoot, if he came in and needed two years to grow or was able to run a team right now, neither would surprise me.
This is the part of the draft where past performance comes into play. Tyler Hansbrough and Sam Young are intriguing because they’re two full term guys. I’m not comparing Sam to an NCAA POY, but Sam is league ready. He can play this fall. I was never sold on Furious T, I thought he was undersized and under-athleticized for the L. He measured out to 6’ 8.5” in his feet and was impressive at the combine. Add those bullshit numbers to what he did on the court the last four years and I begrudgingly admit he could make a good pro. I don’t think he’ll ever be Tim Duncan. But he can be a more than serviceable big with an ASG weekend or two under his belt by the time he retires.
That’s all I have to say about the mid to late first round without this running 5,000 words. But I would like to weigh in on some other trade prospects. You may – or may not – have heard that the C’s were trying to deal Rajon Rondo. On the surface that seems insane and could only hurt team chemistry. Apparently behind the scenes he’s more of a dick than has been let on. Ray Ray is going to command a little more salary from the Cs that I don’t think they want to pay, but he’s why they got as far as they did this spring.
Tracy McGrady has been rumored to be on the block as well. I say good riddance to bad rubbish. I take back every nice thing I ever said about that mother fucker after what he did this February. In fact I can’t say enough bad things about him, except to just call him a cunt. That Houston team was better off without him. Though, another Yao foot injury does not bode well. I can’t wait for him to have a Walton-in-Boston turn for Miami with Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh in 2013.
There is rumor that Minny is going to try and package the 5 and 18 to move up, maybe to 2. Memphis has apparently shot that down because Chris Wallace is gun shy after the Gasol trade. (Poor guy has a terrible owner and is told what to do and he’ll have that black mark on his resume for the rest of his career. I hope he goes the Charlie Casserly route on ESPN and says, ‘I never wanted to make that trade, I was forced into it as a salary dump. We actually had a better offer on the table from [not the goddamnmotherfucking Lakers!].’) OKC seems happy to stay put at 3 and take Rubio – if they pass on him it better for a good reason, like Ricardo has an advanced case of degenerative syphilis and he’s quietly going mad from mackin’ snitches on the Mediterranean but no one has brought it to light.
Wow – I hope you’re happy with over 1700 words on tomorrow night’s draft and some other potential summer moves in the NBA. I apologize for my lack of brevity, but as I outlined earlier, there is nothing other than baseball on my sports plate right now. And that is probably the worst case scenario for me. Until the NL approves the DH, that is. Maybe that should be my next posting…